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Area forecast discussion from the National Weather Service, Norman

by Bryan Painter Published: August 15, 2013

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
346 PM CDT THU AUG 15 2013

.DISCUSSION…
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS…A FEW SEVERE…HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED IN
THE UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS. WEAK FORCING HAS RESULTED IN AN UNFOCUSED AREA OF
STORMS…AND RELATIVELY WIDE SPACING BETWEEN STORMS. SCATTERED
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE INTO THE
EVENING…MAINLY OVER THE WESTERN PARTS OF OUR FORECAST AREA.

LATER THIS EVENING…A STRONG…FOR AUGUST…UPPER WAVE WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST ACROSS KANSAS AND OKLAHOMA. THIS WILL INCREASE THE
OVERALL INSTABILITY IN THE ATMOSPHERE…AND SUPPORT A MORE
ORGANIZED PATTERN OF STORM DEVELOPMENT. IT APPEARS THAT A STORM
COMPLEX IS LIKELY LATE THIS EVENING AND INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THIS
COMPLEX IS MOST LIKELY TO FORM OVER WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE…THEN SHIFT SLOWLY SOUTH WITH TIME.

SOME STORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE FRIDAY…BUT DECREASING
INSTABILITY AND THE ADVERSE EFFECTS OF A DEPARTING UPPER WAVE WILL
RESTRICT THE STRENGTH AND COVERAGE OF THOSE STORMS. AS MID/UPPER-
LEVEL RIDGING SETTLES INTO OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS LATE
FRIDAY…STORMS SHOULD END.

THE FORECAST REMAINS DRY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK…AS AN
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE PARKS ITSELF ALMOST DIRECTLY OVER OKLAHOMA. A
SLOW WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN SUNDAY AND CONTINUE INTO MIDWEEK.

by Bryan Painter
Assistant Local Editor
Bryan Painter, assistant local editor, has 31 years’ experience in journalism, including 22 years with the state's largest newspaper, The Oklahoman. In that time he has covered such events as the April 19, 1995 bombing of the Alfred P. Murrah...
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