STILLWATER — Oklahoma State has just one regular season game remaining in 2011, but the bowl picture is far from clear for the 10-1 Cowboys.
A wild and wacky weekend of college football reminded us that there are still plenty of games to be played around the country, and many of those will affect where the Cowboys ultimately end up come bowl season.
Here's what we do know: OSU has clinched at least a share of the Big 12 title, its first piece of a conference championship since it shared the Big Eight title in 1976. The Cowboys can win the Big 12 outright with a Bedlam victory over Oklahoma in two weeks.
Depending on the result of Bedlam, here's a look at the possible bowl scenarios for OSU. These projections are also based on OU beating Iowa State on Saturday, which, of course, really is not a guarantee.
BCS Championship Game
Jan. 9, New Orleans
How OSU gets there: The Cowboys win Bedlam and get some help. Alabama losing to Auburn or Georgia winning the SEC Championship Game could vault OSU back into that No. 2 spot. A loss by Stanford or Virginia Tech would help the Pokes' chances, too.
Likelihood: 19 percent
Jan. 5, Glendale, Ariz.
How OSU gets there: Win Bedlam, and this the worst-case scenario for the Cowboys as the Big 12 champions. Lose Bedlam, and OSU could still end up here as an at-large BCS team if the Fiesta works out a deal to avoid OU heading to the desert for the fourth time in six years and the Sooners land in the Sugar or Orange Bowl.
Likelihood: 45 percent
Jan. 3, New Orleans
How OSU gets there: If the Cowboys lose Bedlam and the OU winds up in the Fiesta Bowl, the Sugar Bowl could take OSU as an at-large BCS team.
Likelihood: 12 percent
Jan. 6, Arlington, Texas
How OSU gets there: If the Cowboys lose Bedlam and are not selected as an at-large BCS team, the Cotton Bowl will likely have its choice between OSU and Kansas State. Since the Pokes won that head-to-head matchup, OSU would likely get the nod here.
Likelihood: 20 percent
Dec. 29, San Antonio
How OSU gets there: The BCS passes on the Cowboys, and the Cotton Bowl takes Kansas State. But since OSU played in the Alamo Bowl last year, would it select the Pokes again?
Likelihood: 3 percent
Dec. 30, Tempe, Ariz.
How OSU gets there: The Cowboys could tumble here if they lose Bedlam and the BCS, Cotton and Alamo Bowls all pass on the Cowboys. Almost unthinkable for a conference co-champion, but there is still a slight chance this scenario could play out.
Likelihood: 1 percent