Oklahoma City realty executive and downtown property owner Mark Beffort's forecast stood in sharp contrast to the gloomy national outlook outlined by an outsider Tuesday at an annual commercial real estate conference.
Beffort said another new corporate headquarters will be built downtown starting this year, but he didn't say what company. He also said would-be tenants are vying for Devon Energy's current space, but he didn't say who.
The deals are in the works, said Beffort, principal with Grubb & Ellis-Levy Beffort. He spoke at the Skirvin Hilton Hotel at the Forecast Conference of the Commercial Real Estate Council of Oklahoma City.
And to anyone who insists Devon's move into its new 50-story, 1.8-million-square-foot tower starting next month will wreck the downtown market for office space, he said, “I tell you, you are wrong.”
He said downtown, with a vacancy rate of 12.9 percent in Class A and Class B office buildings for lease, will take some time to absorb all of the 800,000 square feet Devon will leave behind in several buildings. But he said he expects almost one-third of it — about 250,000 square feet — to be filled in six to nine months.
The country as a whole faces a bleaker future for its leasable office space and other commercial real estate, said Stephen R. Blank, senior resident-fellow with the Urban Land Institute. He presented information and forecasts from the annual “Emerging Trends in Real Estate” publication by the ULI and PricewaterhouseCoopers.
Real estate still looks better than stocks and bonds, he said — or it did until recently — but “demand drivers don't exist, and fundamentals need to catch up.”
Blank listed obstacles to real estate recovery: companies sending jobs overseas; reduced need for space because of technology-driven hikes in productivity; personal and government debt loads; an aging population with increasing health care needs; the construction slowdown; global financial chaos; Wall Street downsizing and “recalibration”; and “dysfunctional government with two parties fighting over power and ideology.”