Carl Albert at Guthrie: Three questions
We get down to business in a big way as No. 4 Carl Albert (4-2) takes a short ride up I-35 to No. 10 ranked Guthrie (4-2) for what will likely get the winner at least one home playoff game. There’s a lot at stake in what has become one of the better rivalries in recent years.
Can Guthrie stop Tre Porter?
Good question, one that I don’t think anyone knows the answer too. In talking to Guthrie coach Rafe Watkins he was especially concerned about Porter who is a top recruit and whom the Titans utilize in a lot of different ways. I’d expect creative use of Porter’s talents to continue which means there will be a lot on Guthrie’s plate in trying to stop him. It can be done. Carl Albert has lost twice this year, but to very good teams. More on that later.
Who has the better quarterback?
Guthrie goes with freshman Bryan Dutton (67 of 105, 894 yds. passing, 13 TD, 6 INTs) while JT Realmuto (47 of 74, 944 yds. 10 TD, 7 INTs). On the ground Realmuto has 557 yards rushing compare to 354 for Dutton.
Moving outside the numbers, Dutton’s numbers compare favorably to Realmuto’s in every category but rushing. Give credit for Realmuto having more passing yards on less attempts, too. And he’s also an experienced senior. So what does that add up to? I still like Dutton a little more at QB based on the learning curve he’s faced as a freshman, which has been quite impressive.
Who is better prepared to win the game?
Guthrie lost to No. 2 ranked El Reno 18-0 in week 2, which seems like an eternity ago since they’ve won four straight since them. Carl Albert had a tough one of their own against Tulsa Washington, falling 27-6.
Since losing to El Reno Guthrie has beaten Piedmont, Ardmore, Harrah and Durant in easy wins. Carl Albert engage Shawnee in a battle royale before losing 34-31.
Given all of that, and the fact that I don’t think McGuinness (Guthrie’s other loss) could beat either El Reno, Tulsa Washington or Shawnee it suggests Carl Albert has had a little tougher road so far. But not by much and comparitive scoring is just that, comparitive scoring.
The pick: Gutrhie 21-20 (Home field gives Guthrie a slight edge, but it’s enough to help them win the game after falling behind early)
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