There are few certainties in bowl season. But here are two.
The SEC wins the Big Bowl. And the Atlantic Coast Conference will stink.
In the last five years, the ACC is 14-28 in bowl games. Only five of the 14 wins came against teams from the SEC, Big 12, Big Ten or Pac-12. The majority of the ACC's wins have come against the likes of Navy, East Carolina, Nevada and the Big East.
The ACC hasn't had a winning bowl season since 2005. Since Florida State's victory over future ACC member Virginia Tech in the 1999 national title game, the ACC has only one BCS bowl victory — in the Orange, over Big East team Cincinnati.
With the conference realignment shuffle, the ACC's football status suddenly is in question. If college football morphs toward four major conferences, the ACC now seems more vulnerable than does the Big 12.
The Big 12 was picked at by geography and politics. The ACC could be sliced by schools like Florida State and Clemson seeking better football.
The ACC in 2012 had its lowest average attendance in 12 years, 45,274. And no marquee victories in the regular season.
Florida State lost to Florida. Clemson lost to South Carolina. Miami lost to Kansas State. North Carolina State lost to Tennessee. North Carolina lost to Louisville. Georgia Tech lost to Georgia.
The ACC's best win was Virginia over Penn State, back on Sept. 8, and Virginia won only twice more the rest of the season.
And the ACC will be hard-pressed to help its reputation this bowl season.
Its BCS matchup is Florida State-Northern Illinois in the Orange. Talk about no-win. Outside of Clemson-LSU in the Chick-fil-A, the ACC has a variety of games that are more slowdown than showdown.
Duke-Cincinnati. Virginia Tech-Rutgers. North Carolina State-Vanderbilt. Only Georgia Tech, which takes a 6-7 record into the Sun Bowl against Southern Cal, could join Clemson in making a postseason statement.