NORMAN — Oklahoma may be No. 1 in the first BCS Standings.
But the Sooners might not actually control their own destiny, caution a couple of BCS analysts.
Jerry Palm, who analyzes the BCS standings at collegebcs.com, said despite OU topping the BCS this week, a couple of other programs have the inside track to the championship game.
"I don't think they control their own destiny," Palm told The Oklahoman in a phone interview. "I don't think they can hold off an undefeated SEC champion. If Oregon goes undefeated, too, I see OU as the odd man out."
The Sooners took first place by grading out No. 1 in the computer ratings.
In four of the six computer polls, OU is No. 1. In the other two, No. 3.
But the Sooners lagged in the human polls. OU ranks No. 3 in the Coaches poll, and No. 4 in the Harris.
Oregon, meanwhile, the BCS' second-ranked team, is No. 1 in both human polls.
And with games against the likes of USC and Arizona ahead, the Ducks figure to significantly improve upon on their No. 8 computer rating — if they keep winning.
Unless the Ducks lose, Palm doesn't see the Sooners passing Oregon in either human poll, even with a victory Saturday at No. 11 Missouri. Palm also believes Oregon will close the gap enough in the computers to move ahead of OU in the BCS.
"Oregon's non-conference was pretty abysmal, but its league schedule gets better," Palm said. "So unless voters change their minds, Oregon is not giving up that top spot."
The Sooners also may not be able to fend off the victor of this weekend's LSU at Auburn showdown — if that team runs the table.
"OU's position is not as good as it looks," said Brad Edwards, ESPN's BCS guru. "If LSU or Auburn goes undefeated, the first team they will jump is Oklahoma."
The good news for the Sooners is that the probability of Oregon and Auburn or LSU going undefeated is slim.
All six of Oregon's remaining opponents are .500 or better, and the Ducks have a trio of daunting road games at USC, Cal and Oregon State.
Even if it beats Auburn, LSU still has to run the gauntlet of Alabama at home and Arkansas on the road, plus the SEC Championship game.
Auburn still has to travel to Alabama.
More good news for the Sooners is they don't have to worry about competing with the Big Ten champ. With Ohio State losing to Wisconsin, the Big Ten's lone undefeated team is Michigan State, ranked No. 7 in the BCS.
Palm doesn't believe the Spartans can't catch an undefeated OU in the BCS; nor can Boise State or TCU.
"They don't have to worry about those teams," Palm said. "Just Oregon and an undefeated SEC team."
ROAD TO THE BCS
Here's a look at the remaining games to watch that could hold major implications in the BCS standings:
Oct. 23: Oklahoma at Missouri
Chance for either to pick up eye-popping victory
Oct. 23: LSU at Auburn
Sooners need to root against winner going forward
Oct 30: Oregon at USC
Probably Ducks' best chance of being knocked off
Oct 30: Michigan State at Iowa
Sparty's magical ride will be put to test in Iowa City
Nov. 6: TCU at Utah
Horned Frogs can score a win that will bolster computer profile
Nov 6: Alabama at LSU
The Crimson Tide can jump back in the race with win in Baton Rouge
Nov. 13: Oklahoma State at Texas
Also win in Austin, and Pokes become serious contender
Nov. 20: Ohio State at Iowa
The winner is still a title game long shot, but you never know
Nov. 26: Boise State at Nevada
The loser in Nevada losing to Hawaii, other than Nevada, was Boise State
Nov. 26: Auburn at Alabama
If Auburn gets past LSU, schedule is manageable until Iron Bowl
Nov. 27: Oklahoma at Oklahoma State
Bedlam as a national semifinal? Hey, it could happen
Dec. 4: Oregon at Oregon State
If Ducks are still undefeated, Sooner fans could be glued to this one