This morning’s “Hazardous Weather Outlook” from the National Weather Service, Norman Forecast Office stated, “Thunderstorms and rain will arrive Saturday when a cold front passes through Oklahoma and surrounding areas.”
The “other hazardous weather” portion of the report noted, “Rainfall of 1 to 2 inches is expected over a large area. Some locations may receive more than 3 inches in a couple of hours or less. This may cause flash flooding.”
More weather-related news:
From Gary McManus, Oklahoma Climatological Survey:
How unusual is Kenton’s 6.2 inches, as measured by the Oklahoma Mesonet? Well, their normal moisture total for September is 1.4 inches (that’s 4.8 inches above normal). That would also become Kenton’s second wettest September on record, dating back to 1901, behind 1941′s 9.81 inches.
Now, how unusual is it for Kenton to lead all the Mesonet sites in precipitation for a month? I assumed it had never happened before (Mesonet data begins in 1994), but crackerjack Mesonet computerizing guru Nathan Bain had to go and spoil my statistics by showing that Kenton has actually led the state twice before: August 2006 and August 2010.
Climatologically speaking, you would expect one of the summer months to be Kenton’s sweet spot. Their placement near the lee of the Rockies allows them to get caught up in the Desert Southwest’s monsoon flow from time to time.
Now the only thing that can ruin all this fun I just wrote about is the front approaching the state. Once it moves in this weekend, a bit of rain here and there could boost somebody ahead of Kenton.
However, even if the 2.4 bullseye hits in the southeast, it won’t be enough to boost them above 6 inches, since they’re sitting at 1-3 inches right now. Maybe up in Osage County, where Burbank is at 4.0 inches already. At least it’s something to look for as the much-needed rain falls.
Also, they did release a U.S. Drought Monitor map this morning as well. The rains of last week did help to forestall any further drought development, and also even relaxed it in a bit of the state.
We’re hoping this weekend’s rain will help us do the same for next week, because looking back to the first of August, the last two months have been downright nasty in southern Oklahoma. It looks like Kenton leads that period as well.
Very, very nasty indeed. Statewide, the average total over that period was 4.46″, 1.59″ below normal, 23rd driest such period since 1921. Obviously worse than that down across the southern half of the state. We are very close to pulling the trigger on drought intensification in that area.