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Handicapping Oklahoma State's bowl possibilities

By Brandon Chatmon Modified: November 15, 2010 at 2:00 pm •  Published: November 14, 2010

— New Year's Day in Glendale, Ariz.? It would make for an especially happy new year for Cowboy fans.

With two games remaining in the regular season, Oklahoma State appears likely to earn an invitation to the Fiesta Bowl, Cotton Bowl or Alamo Bowl.

Here is a handicap of Cowboys' bowl possibilities:

Fiesta Bowl as Big 12 Champions

It's pretty simple: If Oklahoma State wins its final two games then wins the Big 12 championship game, the Cowboys will be headed to the Fiesta Bowl. Barring a monumental upset by Kansas this weekend, the Pokes will likely host Oklahoma in a Bedlam battle for the Big 12 South title. Playing at Boone Pickens Stadium increases the Pokes' chances of knocking off the Sooners, then OSU would likely face a rematch against Nebraska, who handed the Pokes their lone loss. Beating two quality teams in a span of eight days won't be easy, but the Cowboys have greatly exceeded expectations all season long.

Chatmon's odds OSU sweeps OU and NU: 40 percent

Cotton Bowl

If the Cowboys lose Bedlam, Dallas seems their likely destination. Although OSU would be making a second-straight appearance, Cowboys fans made a strong Cotton Bowl showing, attendance-wise, and the excitement of a potential 10-win season in a “rebuilding” year could result in another strong showing by the OSU faithful. However, if Texas A&M wins its final two games — against Nebraska and Texas — there's a chance the Cotton Bowl will decide to take the Aggies instead.

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Could OSU earn an at-large BCS berth with a Bedlam win and Big 12 title game loss?

The Cowboys have a chance to earn an at-large BCS berth but will need plenty of help if they win Bedlam then lose the Big 12 title game. A book could be written involving all the scenarios, so here are the most realistic ones.

OSU would need two of these things to happen to earn a berth:

Stanford: OSU needs Stanford to lose at Cal on Saturday or at home against Oregon State. The Cardinal rank No. 6 in the current BCS Standings. Their lone loss came to Oregon, and they had an impressive 42-17 win over No. 22 Arizona.

SEC teams: OSU needs Alabama to lose to Auburn and LSU to lose to Arkansas. An Alabama win over Auburn will likely get them an at-large bid, and LSU is the top ranked one-loss team in the current BCS Standings at No. 5.

Big Ten teams: With the Big Ten boasting three one-loss teams, that makes it tougher on an OSU squad that would have two losses (Nebraska, Big 12 title game).

Either Wisconsin, Michigan State or Ohio State will likely win the Big Ten. OSU would need the other two to lose to open up a BCS spot. Wisconsin plays at Michigan, then hosts Northwestern; Ohio State travels to Iowa, then hosts Michigan; Michigan State hosts Purdue, then travels to Penn State.


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