Handicapping OU's bowl possibilities

Even with two regular-season losses so far, the Sooners could be in for a compelling bowl matchup.
By Jake Trotter, Staff Writer, jtrotter@opubco.com Modified: November 10, 2010 at 10:08 pm •  Published: November 10, 2010

With two losses, Oklahoma officially has been removed from the national-title picture.

Still, OU could be in for a compelling bowl matchup.

A showdown with defending national champion Alabama.

A Stoops bowl with Arizona.

A clash with Michigan's Denard Robinson.

Or even a rematch with sixth-ranked Stanford.

Those are just some of the possibilities.

AT&T Cotton Bowl: Big 12 No. 2 vs. SEC West No. 2, 3 or 4

Chances: 50 percent

Potential opponents: Arkansas, Alabama, Mississippi State, LSU

The Breakdown: If OU beats Tech and Baylor, then loses in Stillwater, Arlington is probably where the Sooners are headed.

Yes, the Cotton remains ahead of the Alamo in the pecking order, but it's unlikely the Cotton will ask the Big 12 Championship loser to come back to Cowboys Stadium just one month after playing there. Possible, but unlikely. Which means that would send the Bedlam winner to the Alamo if that team lost in the Big 12 title. Sending the Bedlam loser to the Cotton, where the Sooners haven't been since 2002.

The SEC is sure to send two of its teams to BCS games, probably the national championship and the Sugar, or the Sugar and Orange (most likely Auburn and LSU in both scenarios). The Capital One gets next pick, and it would probably take Alabama. That leaves the Cotton its pick of remaining SEC West schools, which would probably be Arkansas.

However, with Stanford's late surge — and LSU still with a very losable game remaining at Arkansas — it's possible the Cardinal could snag the SEC's BCS at-large bid. If that happened, the Capital One would get its choice of Alabama or LSU, leaving the other to face the Sooners or Cowboys in an intriguing Cotton Bowl showdown.

Valero Alamo Bowl: Big 12 No. 3 vs. Pac-10 No. 2

Chances: 30 percent

Potential opponents: Stanford or Arizona

The Breakdown: In the new Big 12 new bowl agreement, the Alamo gets third pick, and now has a tie-in to get the No. 2 Pac-10 team. To end up in the Alamo, the Sooners will have to win Bedlam, then lose to Nebraska in the Big 12 Championship.


Jake Trotter's Big 12 bowl projections

Fiesta: Nebraska (Big 12 champ) vs. Pittsburgh (BCS at-large)

Cotton: Oklahoma (Big 12 No. 2) vs. Arkansas (SEC West No. 3 or 4)

Alamo: Oklahoma State (Big 12 No. 3) vs. Stanford (Pac-10 No. 2)

Insight: Missouri (Big 12 No. 4) vs. Michigan (Big Ten No. 5)

Holiday: Kansas State (Big 12 No. 5) vs. Arizona (Pac-10 No. 3)

Texas: Texas A&M (Big 12 No. 6) vs. Illinois (Big Ten No. 6)

Pinstripe: Baylor (Big 12 No. 7) vs. Syracuse (Big East No. 4)

TicketCity: Texas Tech (Big 12 No. 8) vs. Northwestern (Big Ten No. 7)

Note: By finishing 6-6, both Iowa State and Texas could become replacement teams for conferences without enough eligible teams

Big 12 bowl schedule

Bowl (location);Date;Time

Insight (Tempe, Ariz.);Dec. 28;9 p.m.

Texas (Houston);Dec. 29;5 p.m.

Alamo (San Antonio);Dec. 29;8:15 p.m.

Pinstripe (New York);Dec. 30;2:20 p.m.

Holiday (San Diego);Dec. 30;9 p.m.

TicketCity (Dallas);Jan. 1;11 a.m.

Fiesta;(Glendale, Ariz.);Jan. 1;7:30 p.m.

Cotton (Arlington, Texas);Jan. 7;7 p.m.

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