Through seven seasons, Durant has 14,851 points, already placing him 132nd all-time. He scored 2,593 points this season, a career-high.
If he could average around 2,500 the next six years — an extremely tall task, but that’s what it’ll likely take during his prime years — he’d be up to nearly 30,000 by his 32nd birthday and 13th year in the league.
That would already put him at sixth all-time, behind only Abdul-Jabbar, Malone, Michael Jordan, Kobe Bryant and Wilt Chamberlain.
From there, he’d have the latter stages of his career to accumulate around 9,000 more. A lot will depend on how he ages, but even when the athleticism fades, the shooting touch typically doesn’t. Abdul-Jabbar played until he was 41, averaging more than 1,000 points his last three years.
“I’m going out on a limb,” former NBA player Steve Smith recently said of Durant on TNT. “If he stays healthy, he can maybe catch Kareem.”
“Not Kareem. Not 38 stacks,” a stunned Shaquille O’Neal answered back, referring to thousands. “Thirty-four, not 38.”
For Durant, a daunting task that remains more than a decade away. But not an impossible one, based on what he’s already done and what the game’s legends are already saying about him.