Nation's economy grows 2.7 percent in summer

U.S. economic growth in third quarter is stronger than Commerce Department predicted.
By MARTIN CRUTSINGER Published: November 30, 2012
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— The U.S. economy grew at a 2.7 percent annual rate from July through September, much faster than first thought.

The strength is expected to fade in the final months of the year because of the impact of Superstorm Sandy and uncertainty about looming tax increases and cuts in government spending.

The Commerce Department said Thursday that growth in the third quarter was significantly better than the 2 percent rate estimated a month ago. And it was more than twice the 1.3 percent rate reported for the April-June quarter.

The main reason for the upward revision to the gross domestic product was businesses restocked at a faster pace than previously estimated. That offset weaker consumer spending growth.

GDP measures the nation's total output of goods and services — from restaurant meals and haircuts to airplanes, appliances and highways.

Most economists say economic growth is slowing to below 2 percent in the current October-December quarter. That's generally considered too weak to rapidly lower the unemployment rate.

Paul Ashworth, chief U.S. economist at Capital Economics, said companies are likely restocking more slowly now. Businesses typically cut back on restocking when they think consumers will spend less. Consumer spending drives roughly 70 percent of economic activity.

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Spending could be weak

Economists cite two reasons for the anticipated weakness in consumer and business spending:

• Superstorm Sandy halted business activity along the East Coast in late October and November.

• Spending may weaken in the final weeks of the year if lawmakers and President Barack Obama fail to reach a deal to avoid the “fiscal cliff.” That's the name for tax increases and spending cuts that would occur in January without a deal.

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