NO. 3 TO MINNESOTA
Quarterback: Christian Ponder looked a lot like a rookie in 2011. He ranked 29th in completion percentage (54.3) and 30th in quarterback rating (70.1).
Supporting cast: Former Oklahoma star Adrian Peterson is still one of the NFL's premier running backs when healthy (970 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns before the knee injury in 2011). Percy Harvin is a versatile weapon.
Why they need Blackmon: Harvin isn't a No. 1 receiver. Having a playmaker on the outside like Blackmon would help Ponder's development.
Why they don't: Left tackle might be a greater need, making USC's Matt Kalil a logical pick. LSU cornerback Morris Claiborne is another option.
Coach/franchise: Leslie Frazier, who was at OSU's Pro Day last month to watch Blackmon, went 3-13 in his first full season. The Vikings' quest for a new stadium is up to state legislature.
City/fan base/quality of life: Minneapolis-St. Paul was rated the No. 14 sports town in America by The Sporting News but is known to have fair-weathered Vikings fans. It also gets a wee bit chilly up there in the winter.
Chance Blackmon lands here: 15 percent
Last three No. 3 overall picks: Marcell Dareus, DE, Alabama (Bills); Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma (Buccaneers); Tyson Jackson, DE, LSU (Chiefs)
NO. 4 TO CLEVELAND
Quarterback: The Browns are either confident in Colt McCoy or will draft one — perhaps Brandon Weeden with the 22nd or 37th overall pick.
Supporting cast: Greg Little and Josh Cribbs combined for 102 receptions, more than 1,200 yards and six touchdowns in 2011. The Browns lost Peyton Hillis to Kansas City in free agency. Offensive lineman Joe Thomas made the Pro Bowl this past season.
Why they need Blackmon: The Browns need better weapons around McCoy. Cleveland also appears to be the most likely destination for Weeden, meaning the chemistry of the Weeden2Blackmon combination could live on in the NFL.
Why they don't: Elite running backs are tough to find, but Alabama's Trent Richardson has the potential to be one. The Browns have a huge hole at that position without Hillis. Texas A&M QB Ryan Tannehill and Claiborne are other options.
Coach/franchise: The Browns are tied for the NFL's second-longest active playoff drought, making their last postseason appearance in 2002. Team president Mike Holmgren is one of the most respected minds in football.
City/fan base/quality of life: Browns fans are among the most rabid and long-suffering in the NFL.
Chance Blackmon lands here: 17 percent
Last three No. 4 picks: A.J. Green, WR, Georgia (Bengals); Trent Williams, OT, Oklahoma (Redskins); Aaron Curry, LB, Wake Forest (Seahawks)
NO. 5 TO TAMPA BAY
Quarterback: What the heck happened to Josh Freeman in 2011? He threw six interceptions in 2010, 22 last season. He's still a promising young quarterback with a strong arm and great mobility.
Supporting cast: The Bucs have some young pieces in place in running back LaGarrette Blount and wide receiver Mike Williams. Ex-OU offensive lineman Davin Joseph was a Pro Bowler this season. Tampa Bay also added former Chargers wide receiver Vincent Jackson in free agency.
Why they need Blackmon: Really, they don't. Signing Jackson filled that need.
Why they don't: See above.
Coach/Franchise: Raheem Morris was fired as head coach after the Bucs ended the season on a 10-game losing streak and was replaced by former Rutgers coach Greg Schiano. Tampa Bay last made the playoffs in 2007.
City/fan base: While college football tends to dominate the state, Florida football fans are certainly knowledgeable and passionate. The beaches and sunshine in the Tampa-St. Petersburg area would be a nice perk.
Other options: LSU CB Morris Claiborne, Alabama RB Trent Richardson
Chance Blackmon lands here: 1 percent
Last three No. 5 overall picks: Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU (Cardinals); Eric Berry, S, Tennessee (Chiefs); Mark Sanchez, QB, USC (Jets)
NO. 6 TO ST. LOUIS
Quarterback: Sam Bradford struggled in a 2011 season where he was hampered by a sprained ankle. He ranked 31st in the NFL in completion percentage (53.5) and 29th in quarterback rating (70.5) and threw just six touchdown passes in 10 games. But it's borderline silly to write the former Sooner off already, especially considering he was named the NFL's Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2010 and nearly led the Rams to the NFC West title that season.
Supporting cast: Steven Jackson is still a solid running back, gaining 1,145 yards last season.
Why they need Blackmon: No Ram played in this season's Pro Bowl. Enough said. Blackmon would give Bradford a dangerous weapon in the passing game that was sorely lacking last season.
Why they don't: Blackmon won't solve all of St. Louis' problems. That's why it's feasible to think the Rams will try to trade down, even after already trading out of the No. 2 spot so the Redskins could take Robert Griffin III, in order to acquire more picks.
Coach/franchise: As noted above, the Rams nearly won a woeful NFC West in 2010 but haven't made the playoffs since 2004. After this past season's 2-14 debacle, coach Steve Spagnuolo and general manager Bill Devaney were replaced with Jeff Fisher and Les Snead, respectively. Fisher is a proven coach.
City/fan base: St. Louis is a baseball town first and foremost. But having Blackmon and Bradford both on the Rams would make the team quite popular in Oklahoma.
Other options: USC OT Matt Kalil, Alabama RB Trent Richardson, LSU CB Morris Claiborne
Chance Blackmon lands here: 45 percent
Last three No. 6 overall picks: Julio Jones, WR, Alabama (Falcons); Russell Okung, OT, Oklahoma State (Seahawks); Andre Smith, OT, Alabama (Bengals)
No. 7 to Jacksonville
Quarterback: Blaine Gabbert's rookie season was, simply put, a disaster. He had the worst quarterback rating of any starter in the NFL (65.4) and ranked 32nd in completion percentage (50.8).
Supporting cast: Maurice Jones-Drew is the league's premier running back, racking up 1,606 yards in 2011.
Why they need Blackmon: Part of Gabbert's struggles is that he had virtually no wide receiver help. No Jaguar reached 500 receiving yards last season. Jacksonville added Laurent Robinson in free agency, but Blackmon would provide another major lift in that area.
Why they don't: Gabbert was also sacked 40 times last season, meaning adding an offensive lineman early in the draft would make sense.
Coach/franchise: It's a new era in Jacksonville, as the team was sold to businessman Shahid Khan in January. Former Atlanta Falcons offensive coordinator Mike Mularkey was hired to replace Jack del Rio, who was fired after eight-plus seasons in November.
City/fan base/quality of life: There have been plenty of rumblings in recent years about the Jaguars moving out of Jacksonville — and possibly to Los Angeles — but Khan said he wants to keep the franchise in Florida. Did we mention there are lots of beaches and sunshine there?
Other options: South Carolina DE/OLB Melvin Ingram, Iowa OT Riley Reiff, South Carolina CB Stephon Gilmore
Chance Blackmon lands here: 12 percent
Last three No. 7 overall picks: Aldon Smith, DE, Missouri (49ers); Joe Haden, CB, Florida (Browns); Darrius Heyward-Bey, WR, Maryland (Raiders)
NO. 8 TO MIAMI
Quarterback: Right now, it's Matt Moore, who passed for 2,497 yards, 16 touchdowns and nine interceptions. But it's been widely speculated that the Dolphins will select a new franchise quarterback in the draft — quite possibly Ryan Tannehill.
Supporting cast: Reggie Bush may have revived his career last season with 1,086 rushing yards and 296 receiving yards.
Why they need Blackmon: The Dolphins need to address the receiver position after trading Brandon Marshall (1,214 yards, six touchdowns in 2011) to the Bears last month.
Why they don't: Teams are often jumpy to pick a quarterback — see the four signal-callers taken in the top 12 picks last season. The Dolphins have been searching for Dan Marino's replacement for more than a decade, and picking Tannehill makes sense because of his familiarity with new offensive coordinator Mike Sherman.
Coach/franchise: Former Packers offensive coordinator Joe Philbin is the new Dolphins coach. Miami last made the playoffs in 2008 and hasn't won a postseason game since 2000.
City/fan base/quality of life: Miami sports fans aren't exactly known for being a rowdy or diehard group, especially during its recent playoff drought. But living in South Beach would be quite appealing for most 20-somethings.
Other options: Texas A&M QB Ryan Tannehill, South Carolina DE/OLB Melvin Ingram, Iowa OT Riley Reiff, Mississippi State DT Fletcher Cox, North Carolina DE Quinton Coples
Chance Blackmon lands here: 5 percent
Last three No. 8 overall picks: Jake Locker, QB, Washington (Titans); Rolando McClain, LB, Alabama (Raiders); Eugene Monroe, OT, Virginia (Jaguars)
NO. 9 TO CAROLINA
Quarterback: Cam Newton was sensational in his rookie season, passing for 4,051 yards and 21 touchdowns while adding 706 rushing yards and 14 touchdowns. He was named the NFL's Offensive Rookie of the Year.
Supporting cast: The Panthers already have a top-flight receiver in Steve Smith, who tallied 1,394 yards and seven touchdowns in 2011. Carolina also sports a solid running back combo in DeAngelo Williams (836 yards, seven touchdowns) and Jonathan Stewart (761 yards, four touchdowns).
Why they need Blackmon: Adding another outside receiving threat for Newton would make the Panthers, who already ranked in the top 10 in the NFL in scoring (25.4 per game) and total yards (389.8 per game), one of the most feared offenses in the league. And Smith would be a great veteran for Blackmon to learn from.
Why they don't: Carolina needs to upgrade the other side of the ball much more, as it ranked 24th or worse in the league in points allowed, total defense, rush defense and pass defense a season ago.
Coach/franchise: Ron Rivera will enter his second season as head coach in 2012. Marty Hurney has been the general manager for more than a decade. The Panthers last made the playoffs in 2008.
City/fan base/quality of life: Newton certainly captivated a Panther fan base that endured a dreadful 2-14 season in 2010. Charlotte is a large city with two major professional sports franchises, but the Panthers are the top dog (or cat).
Other options: Mississippi State DT Fletcher Cox, South Carolina CB Stephon Gilmore, South Carolina DE/OLB Melvin Ingram, North Carolina DE Quinton Coples, Boston College LB Luke Kuechly, Iowa OT Riley Reiff
Chance Blackmon lands here: 3 percent
Last three No. 9 overall picks: Tyron Smith, OT, USC (Cowboys); C.J. Spiller, RB, Clemson (Bills); B.J. Raji, DT, Boston College (Packers)
NO. 10 TO BUFFALO
Quarterback: Ryan Fitzpatrick was given a new six-year, $59 million contract ($24 million guaranteed) in October, locking him down as the Bills' franchise quarterback. Last season, he completed 62 percent of his passes for 3,832 yards, 24 touchdowns and 23 interceptions.
Supporting cast: Steve Johnson was a 1,000-yard receiver in 2011. Fred Jackson has been a reliable running back since 2009, compiling at least 900 yards in each of the last three seasons.
Why they need Blackmon: Blackmon would be a great complement to Johnson. The Bills have also already heavily addressed the defensive side of the ball with the signings of ends Mario Williams and Mark Anderson.
Why they don't: A solid offensive lineman, perhaps Iowa's Riley Reiff or Stanford's Jonathan Martin, could be a greater need.
Coach/franchise: The Bills haven't made the playoffs since 1999, the league's longest playoff drought. But general manager Buddy Nix has shown a commitment to winning with Fitzpatrick's extension and in landing Williams. Chan Gailey enters his third season as head coach in 2012.
City/fan base/quality of life: Despite the playoff drought, the Bills have loyal fans, who often brave the cold Buffalo temperatures to watch their team play.
Other options: Iowa OT Riley Reiff, Stanford OT Jonathan Martin, Boston College LB Luke Kuechly
Chance Blackmon lands here: 2 percent
Last three No. 10 overall picks: Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri (Jaguars); Tyson Alualu, DT, California (Jaguars); Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech (49ers)