Oklahoma football: OU's projected to contend, but recent projections have been deceiving

In the eight seasons after the 2000 title, seven times in the final AP poll OU placed no more than three spots away from where it was projected in the preseason AP poll. Now, the opposite is true. In the previous five seasons, only once has OU finished within 10 slots of its preseason poll placing.
by Berry Tramel Published: June 15, 2014

After Bob Stoops brought Sooner football back to national prominence with the 2000 national championship, OU became the sport’s most dependable property.

You almost always knew what you were going to get out of the Sooners.

In the eight seasons after that 2000 title, seven times in the final AP poll OU placed no more than three spots away from where it was projected in the preseason AP poll.

Think about that. Virtually every season, the Sooners finished in the neighborhood of where a panel of observers figured they would finish.

2001, picked third, finished sixth. 2002, picked second, finished fifth. 2003, picked first, finished third. 2004, picked second, finished third. 2006, picked 10th, finished 11th. 2007, picked eighth, finished eighth. 2008, picked fourth, finished fifth.

That’s a remarkable run of consistency. You knew what you were getting with the Stoops Sooners. Only in 2005 (picked seventh, finished 22nd) were the Sooners nowhere near their projection.

That was then. Now, the opposite is true. In the previous five seasons, only once has OU finished within 10 slots of its preseason poll placing.

The good news is that the Sooners were way better than their projection in 2013. Picked 16th, finished sixth. In 2012, OU was picked fourth and finished 15th. In 2011, picked first, finished 16th. In 2009, picked third, finished 26th.

Only in 2010 were the Sooners close to what the experts thought — picked seventh, finished sixth.

All of which is a little ominous in 2014. OU again is picked in the high-rent district. Top five at least. Top three by most. Top one by some.

In the early Stoops years, that generally meant the Sooners would be in contention. In the later Stoops years, that could mean most anything.

In 2009, injuries wrecked OU. In 2011, the Sooners were blindsided by never-thought-I’d-see-the-day events — Baylor’s Robert Griffin won the Heisman and OSU won the Big 12, both at OU’s expense. In 2012, the Sooner defense went belly-up to historic proportions.


by Berry Tramel
Columnist
Berry Tramel, a lifelong Oklahoman, sports fan and newspaper reader, joined The Oklahoman in 1991 and has served as beat writer, assistant sports editor, sports editor and columnist. Tramel grew up reading four daily newspapers — The...
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