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Sooners and their odds look better after rout of A&M

BY JOHN ROHDE Modified: November 15, 2009 at 11:08 am •  Published: November 15, 2009

NORMAN —Hate to do this on a weekend, but it's time for a pop quiz.

We're going to do this in reverse. I'm going to give you the answers and then supply the questions.

The answers:

A. 19.97 percent.

B. 32.86 percent.

C. 1.23 percent.

Before we get to the questions, let it be noted Oklahoma pounded Texas A&M by a 65-10 count Saturday night before a crowd of 85,003 at Owen Field. A nice win for the home team, but the Aggies did some gift-wrapping with four turnovers.

The Sooners' defense excelled against the conference's No. 2 offense, but really no surprise there. OU's sputtering offense ran smoothly at times, but it came against the conference's No. 10 defense.

Cornerback Brian Jackson had a 52-yard fumble return for a touchdown; quarterback Landry Jones recovered nicely from his five interceptions last week; running back DeMarco Murray regained his game-breaker status; and the Sooners auditioned their third placekicker this season.

That pretty much covers the game. Now, back to the math.

As everyone knows, OU has battled the odds all season. After all, what are the odds of losing last year's Heisman Trophy winner, and America's best tight end, and three other starters, all to season-ending injuries?

After losing last week at Nebraska, the 5-4 Sooners fell out of the Top 25 for the first time is 60 weeks and fans wanted to know their team's chances of winning the final three games of the regular season.

Answer: A.

Mike Brooks is OU's football historian and statistician. He's got more numbers than he knows what to do with, so he playfully did some calculations.

Brooks determined the Sooners had an 80-percent chance of beating Texas A&M, a 52-percent chance of winning at Texas Tech next Saturday, and a 48-percent chance of beating Oklahoma State in Norman on Nov. 28.


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